Currently when creating events there is no "not in existence yet" state for when content is being newly created, which would allow the user to specify a transition for new content. Nor does there seem to be a way to select a default state for new content to enter upon creation.

I've spent quite a bit of time struggling with this and messing with the weights and stuff to try to figure out if they control which state gets chosen by default. It seems like this might be a common problem.